Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 3.295322 3.650658 4.035564 4.484678 4.995820 5.561186 6.236231
2025-06-22 2.762521 3.234175 3.780664 4.465129 5.305698 6.312312 7.621103
2025-06-29 2.410108 2.935490 3.574650 4.418283 5.515716 6.913386 8.858169
2025-07-06 2.082126 2.611708 3.279951 4.197903 5.446457 7.115717 9.568888
2025-07-13 1.918761 2.471440 3.192326 4.219625 5.676224 7.715305 10.874276
2025-07-20 1.806577 2.382926 3.157506 4.298968 5.980933 8.439464 12.445255
2025-07-27 1.716493 2.313281 3.137431 4.389963 6.302864 9.215266 14.195802
2025-08-03 1.629192 2.238185 3.099971 4.446843 6.572498 9.933732 15.950518
2025-08-10 1.544443 2.158719 3.047375 4.472122 6.789780 10.586387 17.682965
2025-08-17 1.428929 2.025091 2.902982 4.339885 6.735918 10.777218 18.610029
2025-08-24 1.344035 1.930927 2.810469 4.280031 6.792206 11.156689 19.936509
2025-08-31 1.276336 1.858046 2.744822 4.256654 6.905273 11.644527 21.542917
2025-09-07 1.248830 1.846772 2.777042 4.401947 7.334646 12.775401 24.681897
2025-09-14 1.188259 1.779463 2.714445 4.380013 7.460182 13.347930 26.747121
2025-09-21 1.128293 1.709227 2.641887 4.333759 7.534254 13.826207 28.688689
2025-09-28 1.041716 1.590793 2.481624 4.118372 7.264589 13.574863 28.886023
2025-10-05 1.004955 1.552193 2.453381 4.139581 7.456260 14.303853 31.583995
2025-10-12 0.980560 1.532576 2.455943 4.217098 7.766826 15.326604 35.235430
2025-10-19 0.959510 1.517210 2.464524 4.305992 8.109126 16.465945 39.454979
2025-10-26 0.934470 1.493445 2.456433 4.361554 8.386539 17.495192 43.618221
2025-11-02 0.906382 1.462759 2.433788 4.386246 8.599316 18.400877 47.647533
2025-11-09 0.858107 1.394118 2.337959 4.257070 8.459206 18.425708 49.007737
2025-11-16 0.822822 1.346898 2.279048 4.198596 8.472462 18.836257 51.686315